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PICOF-12

PICOF12

 

12th session of the Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF-12)

Virtual Meeting 20 April 2023

11:30-16:30 WST (22:30-03:30 UTC)

 

                                                                              Agendadwld

[Lead agency for the session presented in bold]

Chair: PICS panel co-chairs

11:30-12:00

(Samoa local time)

Registration and communications testing

Meeting procedures

SPREP to coordinate and provide all supporting details and documents prior.

12:00-12:30

Session 1: Opening and Setting the scene.

  • Opening prayer (Mika Perez, Tokelau)
  • Opening remarks (Tagaloa Cooper, PMDP, SPREP)
  • Opening remarks (Henry Taiki, WMO)
  • Meeting objectives (Ben Noll, NIWA)
  • Group photo

 

12:30-12:55

Session 2: ENSO Update and Outlook dwld

ENSO status and outlook, and introduction to ENSO tracker: NIWA, BoM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP and SPC (15 minutes)

Including - highlights from Global Seasonal Climate Update (GSCU)

Session 2 discussion (10 minutes)

All PICOF are joint presentations. A representative from the agency in bold will deliver the presentation with support/input from the remaining agencies referenced.

12:55-14:15

Session 3: Looking Back - Review and Evaluation of November to April Climate outlook.

  1. Atmospheredwld

Overview of November to April state of the climate, plus evaluation of the last PICOF outlook: NOAA, University of Hawaii, BoM, SPC, SPREP, and NIWA (15 minutes).

  1. Oceandwld

Overview of November to April state of the ocean, plus evaluation of the last PICOF outlook: NOAA, University of Hawaii, BoM, SPC, SPREP, NIWA (15 minutes).

  1. Tropical cyclonesdwld

Overview of the TCs over November to April: NOAA, University of Hawaii, BoM, SPC, SPREP, and NIWA (15 minutes).

  1. Impactsdwld

Overview of impacts over November to April: NOAA, University of Hawaii, BoM, SPC, SPREP, and NIWA (15 minutes).

Session 3 discussion (20 minutes)

 

14:15-14:45

Session 4: Looking Back Long-Term: Status of key variables

A brief examination of long-term trends for variables of interest to Pacific communities: In April 2023, these will be air temperature and ocean acidification: NOAA, University of Hawaii, BoM (Air Temperature), SPC (Ocean Acidification), SPREP, and NIWA (20 minutes).

Presentation:

BoM (Air Temperature)dwld / SPC (Ocean Acidification)dwld

Session 4 discussion (10 minutes)

Tropical cyclones and sea level at PICOF-10

 

Rainfall and SST at PICOF-11

14:45-14:55

10-min break

 

14:55:15:55

Session 5: Looking Forward - Seasonal and Intra-seasonal Pacific guidance for May to October 2023.

  1. Atmospheredwld

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison: NIWA, BoM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, and SPC (15 minutes).

  1. Oceandwld

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison: NIWA, BoM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, and SPC (15 minutes).

  1. Tropical cyclonesdwld

PICOF outlook and RCC Node for LRF individual model/MME guidance and skill comparison: NIWA, BoM, Meteo-France, NOAA, University of Hawaii, APCC, SPREP, and SPC (15 minutes)

Session 5 discussion (15 minutes)

 

15:55-16:25

Session 6: Looking Forward Long-Termdwld

A brief review of long-term climate change projections for variables of interest to Pacific communities: In April 2023, these will be air temperature and ocean acidification: CSIRO, UGCRP, BoM and SPREP (20 minutes).

Session 6 discussion (10 minutes)

 

16:25-16:30

Session 7: Closing

Chair: Summary of proceedings, feedback from participants.

Next steps: production of PICOF 12 Report and Statement.

 

 

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